Why this swallow could make a spring

The mechanics of the fiscal cliff scarcely matter compared to the political implications of the deal, which suggest the US Republican and Democratic parties are still capable of reaching a consensus on the way forward

Our problems are not over just because US Congress has swallowed hard and sanctioned sufficient tax rises to avert a plunge over the fiscal cliff. Or so the argument runs.

Sceptics - and there are plenty of them - say the deal has merely postponed negotiations over spending cuts and the government debt ceiling for two months. US Treasury Secretary Tim Geithner says the federal government would run up against a debt ceiling - a legal cap on its total borrowing set by Congress - by the end of February.

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